Match Info

OFC Pro League - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Vanuatu United		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
	6.24	5.11	1.33
	5.59	5.56	1.38	Watch
	8	5	1.25
	7.7	5.1	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.88 ↑ (6.47)	5.19 ↓ (5.27)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanuatu United
13.2%

Draw
17.5%

South Melbourne
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

17.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

16.7%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanuatu United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanuatu United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Vanuatu United - South Melbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone OFC Pro League (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OFC Pro League (Winners stage: )).

Recent performances by Vanuatu United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

South Melbourne is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vanuatu United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Melbourne is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vanuatu United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanuatu United
OFC Pro League
27.02.26	Vanuatu United - PNG Hekari	1:3 ✺
24.02.26	Vanuatu United - Solomon Kings	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bula - Vanuatu United	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	5:2 ✺
03.02.26	PNG Hekari - Vanuatu United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLT
- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
13.03.26	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
OFC Pro League
04.03.26	South Melbourne - Solomon Kings	5:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
28.02.26	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
OFC Pro League
27.02.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
07.02.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	5:2

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