Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 26

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Varbergs BoIS		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.44
	6.5	4.75	1.49	Watch
	7.34	4.69	1.47
	6.5	4.4	1.4	Watch
	6.8	4.6	1.45	Watch
	6.6	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (5.2)	4.51 ↑ (4)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
14%

Draw
21%

Djurgården
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.9%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Djurgården's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Varbergs BoIS - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Djurgården will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Andersson F. (C) 20. Silverholt O. 18. Lindner J. 3. Zackrisson H. 38. Sverrisson O. 10. Lushaku I. 40. Dahlstrom N. 17. Borchers M. 21. Karlsson V. 9. Kurochkin A. 37. Krasniqi D.	35. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 2. Johansson P. 27. Une-Larsson J. 3. Danielson M. 26. Dahl S. 21. Bergvall L. 6. Schuller R. 7. Eriksson M. (C) 15. Fallenius O. 22. Qurbanly M. 18. Va
Substitutes
39. El Ouatki Y. 22. Frigell Jansson L. 19. Hoven K. 16. Maric A. 11. Mucolli A. 5. Nogueira V. 1. Olsson D. (G) 12. Ronnberg V. 6. Sisse F.	20. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 19. Bengtsson P. 12. Bergvall T. 16. Kaib R. 29. Milleskog N. 17. Moros C. 9. Radetinac H. 14. Sabovic B. 30. Vaiho T. (G)
Coaches
Askebrand T.	Bergstrand K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1.

Varberg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Djurgården is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Djurgården is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Varberg: Liljenback A. (Knee Injury) Mensah G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Djurgården: Bengtsson P. (Injury) Kack E. (Injury) Picornell A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Varberg: Alfonsi O. (Injury) Sainte M. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.23	Elfsborg - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Varbergs BoIS - Hammarby	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sirius - Varbergs BoIS	7:0 ✺
03.09.23	Varbergs BoIS - Brommapojkarna	4:3 ✺
28.08.23	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.09.23	Djurgården - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	AIK - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Djurgården - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Norrköping - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Djurgården - Degerfors	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.23	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:0
20.08.22	Varbergs BoIS - Djurgården	2:2
29.05.22	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	4:0
28.11.21	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:3
25.04.21	Varbergs BoIS - Djurgården	1:3
06.12.20	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
05.08.20	Varbergs BoIS - Djurgården	1:2

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