Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 13

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.75	3.82
	1.91	3.75	3.82
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.87	3.72	3.82	Watch
	1.86	3.55	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.81)	3.64 ↓ (3.72)	3.71 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
49.5%

Draw
25.5%

Gefle
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Varbergs BoIS - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: Varbergs BoIS will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Olsson D. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 4. Dahlstrom N. 3. Zackrisson H. (C) 5. Sverrisson O. 11. Bjerkebo I. 23. Tokich M. 13. Edlund O. 10. Montiel D. 20. Bitiqi A. 9. Kurochkin A.	1. Jonsson O. (G) 19. Aspgren C. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 14. Friman S. P. 10. Yakoub A. 44. Ranera I. 18. Capotondi C. 7. Edqvist A. 11. Englund L.
Substitutes
14. Alfonsi D. 25. Alfonsi O. 29. Andersson F. (G) 16. Berggren A. 17. Olausson L. 6. Silverholt O. 21. Wiklund A.	35. Adrian S. 20. Hjelm A. 9. Hjelte J. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A.
Coaches
Linderoth T.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Capotondi C. ⚽, Yakoub A. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Tokich M. ⚽, Montiel D. (A),
34', Tokich M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
64', 2 - 1, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Kurochkin A. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Englund L. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
68', Frigell Jansson L. ↓, Silverholt O. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Englund L. ⚽,
75', Yakoub A. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Bitiqi A. ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Bitiqi A. ⚽,
85', Hakansson N. ↓, Hjelte J. ↑,
89', Montiel D. ↓, Alfonsi O. ↑,
89', Bitiqi A. ↓, Alfonsi D. ↑,
90+2', Englund L. 🟨,
90+2', Alfonsi O. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Varberg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
15.06.24	Utsikten - Varbergs BoIS	0:1 ✺
02.06.24	Varbergs BoIS - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
28.05.24	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
23.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
15.06.24	Gefle - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Örgryte - Gefle	3:0 ✺
26.05.24	Gefle - Örebro	3:1 ✺
22.05.24	Östersund - Gefle	4:3 ✺
17.05.24	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.09.18	Varbergs BoIS - Gefle	1:2
30.06.18	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	2:2
09.08.17	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	2:0
22.07.17	Varbergs BoIS - Gefle	2:0
Svenska Cupen
01.03.15	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
02.03.13	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	3:2

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