Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 11

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örgryte		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.7
	1.87	3.6	3.5
	1.9	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.89	4.05	3.68
	1.87	4.05	3.68
	1.8	3.7	3.5
	1.89	3.78	3.69	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	3.84 ↑ (3.78)	3.63 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
50.1%

Draw
24.3%

Gefle
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Örgryte - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gefle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 5. Styffe C. 25. Faye A. 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 14. Paulson D. (C) 26. Sylisufaj E. 31. Abukar A.	27. Johansson T. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 7. Edqvist A. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 11. Englund L. 35. Adrian S. 9. Hjelte J.
Substitutes
10. Barkroth N. 11. Christoffersson N. 6. Dyrestam M. 9. Lundberg V. 30. Rahm A. (G) 28. Sadiku E. 2. Tagesson L.	2. Adel I. 18. Capotondi C. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 16. Persson K. 10. Yakoub A.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Azulay J. (Pen),
23', 2 - 0, Sylisufaj E. ⚽, Svensson W. (A),
43', Mujanic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hjelte J. ↓, Yakoub A. ↑,
59', Paulson D. ↓, Tagesson L. ↑,
59', Andreasson A. ↓, Dyrestam M. ↑,
59', Styffe C. ↓, Lundberg V. ↑,
62', Hakansson N. ↓, Capotondi C. ↑,
63', Adolfsson J. 🟨,
67', Dyrestam M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Lundberg V. ⚽, Tagesson L. (A),
74', Abukar A. ↓, Sadiku E. ↑,
74', Adrian S. ↓, Lattman A. ↑,
84', Ranera I. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
84', Sylisufaj E. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 4.

Örgryte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gefle is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Örgryte will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
26.05.24	Sandviken - Örgryte	3:1 ✺
22.05.24	Örgryte - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Degerfors - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
11.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
07.05.24	Örgryte - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
26.05.24	Gefle - Örebro	3:1 ✺
22.05.24	Östersund - Gefle	4:3 ✺
17.05.24	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.10.23	Gefle - Örgryte	0:1
27.05.23	Örgryte - Gefle	3:1
04.09.18	Gefle - Örgryte	0:1
11.05.18	Örgryte - Gefle	3:1
16.10.17	Örgryte - Gefle	1:1
04.06.17	Gefle - Örgryte	0:1

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