Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 25

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Varbergs GIF		Bergdalen

	1	X	2
	1.23	6.5	8.1
	1.21	6.59	7
	1.19	6.25	10.3
	1.3	5.1	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)	6.11 ↑ (5.08)	8.26 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs GIF
74%

Draw
14.9%

Bergdalen
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

13.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs GIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varbergs GIF's performance.

Bergdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs GIF than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varbergs GIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergdalen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergdalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varbergs GIF - Bergdalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟥,
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

Varbergs GIF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varbergs GIF is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varbergs GIF won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 4.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Varbergs GIF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs GIF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
06.10.25	Varbergs GIF - Jonsereds	3:5 ✺
26.09.25	Böljan - Varbergs GIF	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Qviding - Varbergs GIF	3:0 ✺
11.09.25	Varbergs GIF - Laholms	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tvååker - Varbergs GIF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Bergdalens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
05.10.25	Bergdalen - Västra Frölunda	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Onsala - Bergdalen	8:2 ✺
21.09.25	Bergdalen - Böljan	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Qviding - Bergdalen	6:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bergdalen - Hestrafors	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
15.06.25	Bergdalen - Varbergs GIF	1:5
30.06.24	Varbergs GIF - Bergdalen	7:1
07.04.24	Bergdalen - Varbergs GIF	0:2

Varbergs GIF - Bergdalen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide