Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Varese		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.25	3.35	2.75
	2.19	3.5	2.7
	2.21	3.62	2.72
	2.26	3.54	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.86)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
40.8%

Draw
26.2%

Castellanzese
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

20.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellanzese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellanzese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varese - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Città di Varese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Varese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.05.21	Arconatese - Varese	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Varese - Legnano	3:1 ✺
28.04.21	Vado - Varese	0:2 ✺
25.04.21	Varese - Casale	1:3
21.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLL
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.05.21	Castellanzese - Borgosesia	3:7 ✺
18.04.21	Bra - Castellanzese	4:0 ✺
14.04.21	Castellanzese - Chieri	5:1 ✺
10.04.21	Saluzzo - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
01.04.21	Lavagnese - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.01.21	Castellanzese - Varese	3:2

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