Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 38Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Varesina |
|
Magenta |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
|
 |
3.75 |
3.85 |
1.74 |
|
 |
3.01 |
3.84 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.46 |
3.8 |
1.83 |
|
 |
3.75 |
3.85 |
1.74 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(1.56) |
3.81 ↓
(3.96) |
1.93 ↓
(4.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Varesina
28.3% | Draw
24.1% | Magenta
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.Magenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magenta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+31.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (-29.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magenta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Varesina - Magenta Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Varesina will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Magenta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magenta: 23.1% โ 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Magenta (1.21) (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magenta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Varesina (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Magenta (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Gasparri M. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Lo Monaco M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )). Magenta is Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out )The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Varesina is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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