The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 36.3%
Draw 29.5%
Castellanzese 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
28.5%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.3%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Varesina - Castellanzese Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Guerrisi A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Manicone C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Castellanzese - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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