Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 18Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday
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Villa Valle |
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Real Calepina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.82 |
3.35 |
3.75 |
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1.78 |
3.53 |
4.02 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
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1.7 |
3.45 |
4.49 |
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1.75 |
3.6 |
4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.23) |
3.47 ↑
(3.15) |
3.95 ↑
(3.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villa Valle
50.9% | Draw
26.1% | Real Calepina
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Valle's performance.Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Calepina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Valle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Calepina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Villa Valle - Real Calepina Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Villa Valle will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Valle (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Ravasi R. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Ravasi R. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 1, Bertoni L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 2 - 2, Brero M. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 4.Villa Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Real Calepina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Villa Valle might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Villa Valle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
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| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Real Calepina - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.7%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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