Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Varesina		Tritium

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.5	3.92	5.22
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.5	4.52	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.96 ↑ (3.6)	5.81 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
61.2%

Draw
23.1%

Tritium
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Varesina - Tritium Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Varesina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tritium is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varesina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Varesina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varesina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
31.01.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Varesina	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Varesina - Casatese	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Real Calepina - Varesina	0:3 ✺
17.01.24	Varesina - Villa Valle	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Varesina - Castellanzese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
31.01.24	Tritium - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Brusaporto - Tritium	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Tritium - Caldiero Terme	0:2 ✺
17.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Tritium	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Tritium - Crema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.10.23	Tritium - Varesina	2:1

Varesina - Tritium: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide