Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Varesina		Villa Valle

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.35	2.52
	2.44	3.39	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.57
	2.42	3.33	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.56 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varesina
37.5%

Draw
27.2%

Villa Valle
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Varesina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Varesina - Villa Valle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Caverzasi D. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Semprini M. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 3 - 1, Manicone C. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Costantino D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Varesina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa Valle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Varesina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Villa Valle	6	1	4	1	6:6	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Valle - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.01.26	Real Calepina - Varesina	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Varesina - Sondrio	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Oltrepo - Varesina	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTL
- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.01.26	Villa Valle - Brusaporto	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Villa Valle - Breno	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.25	Villa Valle - Varesina	1:1
17.01.24	Varesina - Villa Valle	0:2
20.09.23	Villa Valle - Varesina	4:2
08.01.23	Varesina - Villa Valle	3:1

Varesina - Villa Valle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide