Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Varesina

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.15	3.1
	2.2	3.31	2.97	Watch
	2.17	3.2	3.05
	2.12	3.14	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
42.3%

Draw
28.3%

Varesina
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Real Calepina - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Semprini A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ))

Real Calepina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varesina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Calepina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Real Calepina	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.01.26	Vogherese - Real Calepina	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Scanzorosciate - Real Calepina	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Calepina - Sondrio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTWT
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.01.26	Varesina - Sondrio	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Oltrepo - Varesina	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
24.09.25	Varesina - Real Calepina	0:2
21.01.24	Real Calepina - Varesina	0:3
24.09.23	Varesina - Real Calepina	5:0
07.05.23	Real Calepina - Varesina	1:0
21.12.22	Varesina - Real Calepina	1:1

Real Calepina - Varesina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide