Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 17

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Kotline (Varnsdorf)


	Varnsdorf		Sparta Kolín

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.52	3.7	2.22
	4	4.3	1.69
	2.42	3.6	2.39
	2.62	3.8	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.32)	3.78 ↑ (3.62)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varnsdorf
32.8%

Draw
24.3%

Sparta Kolín
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varnsdorf's form might have worsened.

Sparta Kolín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Kolín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varnsdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Kolín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kolín will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolín: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolín (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Varnsdorf (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Kolín (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Varnsdorf (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kolín (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lytovka I. (C) 16. Ahile T. 7. Barylyak S. 20. Funda L. 8. Galeno N. D. S. 18. Grafek D. 15. Matviichuk I. 17. Moussa I. 6. Musilek P. 4. Prytykovsky D. 12. Senko K.	1. Benada A. (G) 13. Hubl H. 22. Hypsman D. 9. Kubes M. 16. Pelyak D. 18. Sixta D. 8. Skorepa M. 12. Sladek M. 10. Sodoma J. (C) 21. Spevak M. 15. Suryn M.
Substitutes
23. Costa R. 1. Kudela A. (G) 19. Lopez M. 9. Plachy J. 5. Taveira A. 21. Truchan S.	7. Hodac M. 6. Houha K. 19. Kolar M. (G) 11. Setka J. 4. Soukup M. 28. Tichy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Kubes M. ⚽,
14', Skorepa M. 🟨,
32', Moussa I. ↓, Plachy J. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Senko K. ⚽,
39', Hypsman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Pelyak D. ↓, Houha K. ↑,
56', Hubl H. ↓, Hodac M. ↑,
57', Funda L. ↓, Taveira A. ↑,
57', Grafek D. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
57', Galeno N. D. S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
74', Matviichuk I. 🟨,
75', Plachy J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Senko K. ⚽,
83', Hypsman D. ↓, Soukup M. ↑,
85', Taveira A. 🟨,
85', Sodoma J. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Sodoma J. ⚽,
90+2', Ahile T. ↓, Truchan S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

Varnsdorf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kolín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kolín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varnsdorf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Varnsdorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Varnsdorf
Czech CFL Group B
07.09.25	Varnsdorf - Sokol Brozany	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Zápy - Varnsdorf	5:0 ✺
24.08.25	Varnsdorf - Pardubice B	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí - Varnsdorf	3:0 ✺
Czech Cup
13.08.25	Varnsdorf - Sokol Brozany	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL
- FK Sparta Kolín
Czech CFL Group B
06.09.25	Jablonec B - Sparta Kolín	5:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sparta Kolín - Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.25	Sokol Brozany - Sparta Kolín	3:2 penalties ✺
Czech CFL Group B
24.08.25	Slovan Liberec B - Sparta Kolín	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Sparta Kolín - Teplice B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
29.03.15	Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín	3:1
14.09.14	Sparta Kolín - Varnsdorf	0:5

Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide