Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Vidigueira (Vidigueira)


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Portimonense B

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.05	2.2
	3.41	3.2	2.01
	3.3	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.15
	3.42	3.14	2.04
	2.7	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.7)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
28.3%

Draw
28.9%

Portimonense B
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Portimonense B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portimonense B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Portimonense B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Vasco da Gama is Relegated to

Vasco da Gama is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Portimonense B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco da Gama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lagoa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Comércio e Indústria - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Portimonense B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.03.26	Portimonense B - Moncarapachense	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Comércio e Indústria - Portimonense B	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Portimonense B - Serpa	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Alcochetense - Portimonense B	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Portimonense B - Oriental	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.11.25	Portimonense B - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Portimonense B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide