Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)


	Portimonense B		Serpa

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.92	2.62
	3.01	2.94	2.31
	2.94	3	2.38	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.5
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.56)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.5 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense B
32.7%

Draw
31.1%

Serpa
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

33.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Portimonense B - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Portimonense B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Serpa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Serpa	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Alcochetense - Portimonense B	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Portimonense B - Oriental	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Portimonense B - Elvas	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Portimonense B	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Portimonense B - Louletano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Serpa - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Serpa - Moncarapachense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Serpa	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lagoa - Serpa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Serpa - Portimonense B	1:0

Portimonense B - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide