Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg		Cham

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.85
	2.23	3.35	2.6
	2.08	3.5	2.75
	2.14	3.64	3.1
	1.93	4	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.68)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	2.85 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
43.6%

Draw
24.8%

Cham
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg's form might have worsened.

Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cham than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Cham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.11.21	Würzburger FV - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	4:2 ✺
30.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Abtswind	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Großbardorf	2:2 ✺
15.10.21	Seligenporten - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Bayern Hof	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTT
- ASV Cham
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.11.21	Cham - DJK Ammerthal	0:1 ✺
29.10.21	ATSV Erlangen - Cham	5:1 ✺
22.10.21	Gebenbach - Cham	4:1 ✺
16.10.21	Cham - Ansbach	2:2 ✺
08.10.21	Feucht - Cham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
31.07.21	Cham - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	4:0

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