Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	18:00	K-Ball
Japan	19:00	DAZN Japan


	Vegalta Sendai		Imabari

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.5
	1.42	4.20	6.00
	1.43	4.25	6.1	Watch
	1.45	4.73	6.93
	1.45	4.48	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.6	6.75
	1.39	4.33	6.43	Watch
	1.43	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	6.43 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
64.7%

Draw
21%

Imabari
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Vegalta Sendai aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vegalta Sendai - Imabari Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sendai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Vegalta Sendai will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Takada R. 5. Sugata M. (C) 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 37. Sugiyama Y. 10. Kamada H. 7. Nakajima M. 42. Ishii H. 18. Umeki T. 27. Iwabuchi H.	16. Yamamoto T. (G) 39. Tsuchiya T. 35. Kushibiki K. 99. Gabriel Gomes 2. Umeki R. 6. Kajiura Y. 26. Palocevic A. 15. Kikuchi K. 17. Mochii K. 14. Komai Y. (C) 10. Junio E.
Substitutes
47. Araki S. 80. Asakura R. 1. Hotta D. (G) 11. Kobayashi K. 17. Kudo A. 9. Miyazaki K. 3. Okuyama M. 14. Sagara R. 8. Takeda H.	19. Furuyama K. 77. Kato J. 9. Kondo T. 36. Kubo K. 29. Maruyama Y. 3. Son T. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 11. Wesley Tanque 7. Yamada T.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.	Kuboyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Kajiura Y. ⚽, Junio E. (A),
17', Palocevic A. 🟨,
45', Sugiyama Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kamada H. ↓, Takeda H. ↑,
46', Matsui R. ↓, Okuyama M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Takada R. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Umeki T. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
54', Gabriel Gomes 🟨,
56', Palocevic A. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
56', Mochii K. ↓, Kato J. ↑,
56', Kikuchi K. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
61', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
62', Tsuchiya T. ↓, Maruyama Y. ↑,
71', Komai Y. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
73', Umeki T. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Miyazaki K. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
76', Nakajima M. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
83', Kushibiki K. ↓, Kubo K. ↑,
84', Sugiyama Y. ↓, Sagara R. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - J1 League and 18th in the Relegation - J3 League).

Sendai has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Imabari has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Sendai as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sendai in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sendai has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sendai against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	13	8	3	2	22:11	11	27
19	Imabari	13	3	2	8	15:26	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tochigi City - Vegalta Sendai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWWW
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Imabari - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:3 ✺
10.10.26	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tochigi City - Imabari	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Imabari - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Imabari - Vegalta Sendai	3:2
12.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Imabari	0:0

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