Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)


	Albirex Niigata		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.1
	1.77	3.55	4.4
	1.71	3.6	4.4
	1.76	3.95	4.64
	1.7	3.5	4.33
	1.74	3.9	4.35	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	3.66 ↑ (3.26)	4.42 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
53.7%

Draw
25.3%

Vegalta Sendai
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15%	10%

Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Niigata is Qualified for J1 League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.

Niigata in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sendai is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
01.10.22	Montedio Yamagata - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
02.10.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.02.22	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	0:0
Japan J League Cup
18.04.18	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	3:1
07.03.18	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	1:1
Japan J1 League
19.08.17	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
28.05.17	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	2:1
17.07.16	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
29.05.16	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	4:2

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