Match Info

J2 League - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	13:00	K-Ball
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.79
	3.75	3.30	1.80
	3.9	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.22	3.83	1.85
	4.03	3.79	1.81	Watch
	4	3.75	1.79
	3.99	3.56	1.74	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.6)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
23.1%

Draw
25.7%

Vegalta Sendai
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 30. Sekiguchi M. 2. Geria J. 15. Hayakawa F. 3. Kato T. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. (C) 16. Osawa T. 55. Moraes M. 17. Shimabuku K. 18. Wakatsuki Y.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Takada R. 5. Sugata M. (C) 19. Mateus Moraes 3. Okuyama M. 37. Sugiyama Y. 8. Takeda H. 7. Nakajima M. 42. Ishii H. 27. Iwabuchi H. 9. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 9. Iury Castilho 6. Kasai K. 14. Konagaya C. 32. Kuwayama K. 38. Mori K. 26. Sato M. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)	47. Araki S. 80. Asakura R. 55. Han Ho-gang 1. Hotta D. (G) 10. Kamada H. 11. Kobayashi K. 17. Kudo A. 20. Nakada Y. 14. Sagara R.
Coaches
Funakoshi Y.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Arai T. 🟨,
5', Mateus Moraes 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Sugiyama Y. ⚽, Iwabuchi H. (A),
36', Sugiyama Y. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Shimabuku K. ⚽, Moraes M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Miyazaki K. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Sekiguchi M. ⚽, Wakatsuki Y. (A),
60', Okuyama M. ↓, Kamada H. ↑,
60', Miyazaki K. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
66', Kamada H. 🟨,
68', Arai T. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
72', Kato T. 🟨,
73', Sugiyama Y. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
73', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
76', Shimabuku K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
76', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
76', Osawa T. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
85', Kuwayama K. 🟨,
85', Nakajima M. ↓, Nakada Y. ↑,
87', Moraes M. ↓, Fitzgerald M. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - J1 League and 1st in the Promotion - J1 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albirex Niigata won 2.

In recent outings, Albirex Niigata has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sendai is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Sendai is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Albirex Niigata has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Albirex Niigata against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	13	8	3	2	22:11	11	27
2	Albirex Niigata	13	8	2	3	19:21	-2	26

Last Results with these Odds

Vegalta Sendai - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.21%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	5:1 ✺
11.10.26	Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTWL
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Imabari	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
08.10.22	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	3:0
20.02.22	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	0:0
Japan J League Cup
18.04.18	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	3:1
07.03.18	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	1:1
Japan J1 League
19.08.17	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
28.05.17	Vegalta Sendai - Albirex Niigata	2:1
17.07.16	Albirex Niigata - Vegalta Sendai	1:2

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