Match Info

J2 League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shonan Bellmare		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.70	3.10	2.35
	2.85	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3	3.43	2.46
	2.85	3.35	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.35
	2.83	3.16	2.33	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)	2.37 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
32.5%

Draw
28.6%

Vegalta Sendai
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sendai will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Shonan Bellmare (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 15. Dohana K. 3. Hakamata Y. 2. Matsumura S. 86. Kase N. 16. Arthur Feitoza 6. Takeda S. 17. Tamura S. 19. Nishino T. 34. Yamada H.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Takada R. 44. Inoue S. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 37. Sugiyama Y. 8. Takeda H. 7. Nakajima M. 42. Ishii H. 18. Umeki T. 27. Iwabuchi H.
Substitutes
26. Fukazawa Y. 77. Ishii H. 38. Kozuki S. 5. Matsumoto H. 21. Nagai T. (G) 11. Oda Y. 13. Shimoguchi W. 4. Tachi K. 29. Watanabe K.	47. Araki S. 80. Asakura R. 1. Hotta D. (G) 2. Igarashi S. 10. Kamada H. 11. Kobayashi K. 15. Minami S. 9. Miyazaki K. 5. Sugata M.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Yamada H. ⚽, Takeda S. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Tamura S. (Own goal),
29', Matsui R. 🟨,
45', Umeki T. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 2, Kobayashi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Takeda H. 🟨,
61', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
62', Matsui R. ↓, Kamada H. ↑,
63', Tamura S. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
63', Suzuki Y. ↓, Shimoguchi W. ↑,
63', Kase N. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
67', Mateus Moraes 🟨,
73', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Nakajima M. ⚽,
76', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
76', Matsumura S. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
78', Sugiyama Y. ↓, Sugata M. ↑,
87', Takeda H. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
87', Nakajima M. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
89', Yamada H. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.

Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20
6	Shonan Bellmare	9	4	4	1	10:8	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Shonan Bellmare - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Omiya Ardija - Shonan Bellmare	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shonan Bellmare - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Iwaki	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLL
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Vegalta Sendai	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
16.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai	0:2
07.03.26	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 penalties
Japan J1 League
20.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	0:2
13.03.21	Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai	3:1
19.12.20	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	0:0
04.07.20	Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai	0:1
24.08.19	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	1:1

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