Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Velbert		Wegberg-Beeck

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.2
	1.6	4.18	5
	1.6	4.19	5
	1.65	3.98	4.45
	1.59	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.9)	4.03 ↑ (3.5)	4.63 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
57.2%

Draw
22.9%

Wegberg-Beeck
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

20.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Velbert's performance.

Wegberg-Beeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wegberg-Beeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Velbert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wegberg-Beeck than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wegberg-Beeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Velbert - Wegberg Beeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Duschke T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Velbert is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wegberg-Beeck has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Velbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Velbert is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Velbert won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Velbert won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
20.04.24	Köln II - Velbert	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Velbert - Rödinghausen	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Schalke 04 II - Velbert	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Velbert - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Lippstadt 08 - Velbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTLTL
- FC Wegberg-Beeck
German Regionalliga West
15.04.24	Paderborn II - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Rödinghausen - Wegberg-Beeck	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
03.11.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Velbert	1:1
27.02.16	Velbert - Wegberg-Beeck	2:1
29.08.15	Wegberg-Beeck - Velbert	2:6

Velbert - Wegberg-Beeck: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide