RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 17
Date: 3 June 2024, Monday
Metallurg Lipetsk
Veles Moscow
1
X
2
2.62
3.04
2.53
2.49
2.95
2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.56 ↑ (2.54)
3 ↓ (3.04)
2.62 ↑ (2.6)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Lipetsk 35.3%
Draw 30.1%
Veles Moscow 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
29.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
30.1%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Metallurg Lipetsk - Veles Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Kobzev A. (G) 77. Arustamyan A. 11. Borisenko G. 2. Eleev M. 15. Grechkin A. 10. Grigorjev M. 5. Krikunenko A. 42. Lapshov I. 87. Maksimchuk A. 8. Pakhomov D. 20. Voydel R. (C)
13. Shitov A. (G) 10. Frolov Y. 20. Ivakin Y. 8. Kobakhidze V. 2. Kutepov I. (C) 95. Magomadov C. 3. Petrunin D. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O. 15. Sosranov R. 7. Umarov I.
Substitutes
19. Glebov I. 27. Korotkikh I. 17. Mosiyan S. 18. Sazonov I. 14. Smirnykh N. 23. Tyumentsev D. 6. Velikorodnyi D. 74. Yavorski N. (G)
11. Dibirov I. 25. Karasev P. 5. Koloskov A. 14. Kotelnikov I. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 31. Matveev M. 17. Pesikov E. 80. Rybalko M. 99. Sarkisyan G. 48. Sutugin I. 9. Vostrikov I. 12. Zheimo N. A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Smirnov O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Frolov Y. ↓, Pesikov E. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Ivakin Y. ⚽,
59', Maksimchuk A. ↓, Korotkikh I. ↑,
60', Arustamyan A. ↓, Velikorodnyi D. ↑,
64', Voydel R. ↓, Tyumentsev D. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Ivakin Y. ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Umarov I. ⚽,
74', Smirnov O. ↓, Vostrikov I. ↑,
74', Umarov I. ↓, Kotelnikov I. ↑,
81', Ivakin Y. ↓, Dibirov I. ↑,
81', Magomadov C. ↓, Matveev M. ↑,
83', Krikunenko A. ↓, Smirnykh N. ↑,
83', Grigorjev M. ↓, Sazonov I. ↑,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).
Metallurg Lipetsk is Relegated to FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season )
Metallurg Lipetsk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Veles is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Veles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Lipetsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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Kobzev A. (G) 
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