Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 4

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Veles Moscow		Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.92	2.02
	3.57	2.96	2.09
	3.5	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
25.5%

Draw
30.5%

Novosibirsk
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

30.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

31.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

Veles Moscow - Novosibirsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shitov A. (G) 23. Gioev A. (C) 20. Ivakin Y. 8. Kobakhidze V. 14. Kotelnikov I. 95. Magomadov C. 3. Petrunin D. 80. Rybalko M. 77. Smirnov O. 15. Sosranov R. 7. Umarov I.	35. Kiselev M. (G) 70. Bakharev G. 17. Bammatgereev M. 67. Erokhin K. 49. Karaev M. 21. Makurin A. 24. Popov K. 15. Redkovich D. 18. Shalaev O. (C) 25. Solovyov A. 88. Tyurin V.
Substitutes
11. Dibirov I. 10. Frolov Y. 5. Koloskov A. 2. Kutepov I. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 31. Matveev M. 17. Pesikov E. 55. Rubanov D. 97. Shubin A. 48. Sutugin I. 9. Vostrikov I. 12. Zheimo N. A. (G)	11. Glukhov E. 86. Kobyalko A. 91. Konev A. 6. Kuzmin A. 8. Maleev A. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 10. Rozhkov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Smirnov O. ⚽,
37', Bakharev G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Solovyov A. ↓, Konev A. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Tyurin V. ⚽,
49', 🟨,
50', Popov K. 🟨,
54', Gioev A. 🟥,
57', Kotelnikov I. ↓, Shubin A. ↑,
65', Bakharev G. ↓, Kobyalko A. ↑,
73', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
73', Tyurin V. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
75', Ivakin Y. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
75', Smirnov O. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
81', Shalaev O. ↓, Maleev A. ↑,
90+2', Sutugin I. ↓, Pesikov E. ↑,
90+3', Umarov I. ↓, Vostrikov I. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Veles is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Novosibirsk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novosibirsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Veles Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Rotor - Veles Moscow	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	Chelyabinsk - Veles Moscow	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Veles Moscow - Murom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35 LWWTW
- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Novosibirsk - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Ufa - Novosibirsk	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rotor	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWT

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