Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Velo Clube |
|
Piracicaba |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.77 |
2.74 |
2.73 |
|
 |
3.19 |
2.63 |
2.54 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.63 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.86 |
2.91 |
2.66 |
|
 |
3.1 |
2.86 |
2.34 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.1) |
2.75 ↓
(2.86) |
2.55 ↑
(2.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Velo Clube
31.1% | Draw
33.1% | Piracicaba
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Velo Clube - Piracicaba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 77', 0 - 1, Paulo Marcelo ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, Matheus Firmino ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Velo Clube have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Piracicaba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Velo Clube - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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