Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro) 🌤️ ...


	Velo Clube		São Luiz

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Velo Clube
44.2%

Draw
32.2%

São Luiz
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

30.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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First leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Velo Clube is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Água Santa - Velo Clube	1:2 penalties ✺
20.06.26	Velo Clube - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Velo Clube - Maricá	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Velo Clube - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLT
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Blumenau - São Luiz	1:2 penalties ✺
20.06.26	São Luiz - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	São Luiz - Joinville	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	FC Cascavel - São Luiz	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Santa Catarina - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWTL

Velo Clube - São Luiz