Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck (Rio do Sul)


	Santa Catarina		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.95	2.92	3.99
	2.01	2.86	4.18	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.89	2.92	4.36
	1.81	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	4.09 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Catarina
47.2%

Draw
30.7%

São Luiz
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

32.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Santa Catarina - São Luiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Brener ⚽,

Preview

Santa Catarina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Luiz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Santa Catarina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Catarina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Santa Catarina - Joinville	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Guarany de Bagé - Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Joinville - Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	São Luiz - Santa Catarina	4:4 ✺
11.04.26	Santa Catarina - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTW
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Cianorte - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	São Luiz - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	São Luiz - Santa Catarina	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	São Luiz - Santa Catarina	4:4

Santa Catarina - São Luiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide