Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 7 June 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)
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 |
|
 |
|
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São Luiz |
|
Joinville |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.30 |
2.70 |
3.20 |
|
 |
2.60 |
2.60 |
2.90 |
|
 |
2.36 |
2.82 |
3.58 |
|
 |
2.49 |
2.38 |
3.77 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.55 |
3.53 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.62) |
2.59 ↓
(2.72) |
3.4 ↑
(2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Luiz
38% | Draw
35.2% | Joinville
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.São Luiz - Joinville Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Brandao (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', 1 - 1, Thomaz ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 1, Nathan Zamith ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 1, Thiago Andre ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Joinville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. São Luiz could have a small edge in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.04.26 | Joinville - São Luiz | 2:0 | | 14.06.25 | Joinville - São Luiz | 2:1 | | 26.05.25 | São Luiz - Joinville | 0:1 | | 14.11.20 | São Luiz - Joinville | 2:1 | | 01.10.20 | Joinville - São Luiz | 2:0 |
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