Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 18

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Nord Energi Arena (Hjorring)

Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Vendsyssel		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.39	3.45	2.75	Watch
	2.42	3.56	2.85
	2.37	3.47	2.81	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	2.34	3.62	2.77	Watch
	2.39	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.64)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vendsyssel
39.4%

Draw
26.6%

Esbjerg
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vendsyssel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esbjerg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esbjerg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Vendsyssel - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vendsyssel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Esbjerg will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulz L. (G) 19. Clemmensen B. 73. Lauritsen M. 2. Mortensen G. 7. Jensen L. 22. Pedersen R. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 49. Borgelin S. 6. Borsting F. 17. Kusk K. 9. Steffensen L.	1. Gadegaard Andersen D. (G) 2. Mortensen J. 3. Skipper A. 25. Meyer J. 21. Montano L. 10. Bourhane Y. 7. From L. 17. Beck J. 5. Troelsen A. 12. Lausen A. 14. Freriks T.
Substitutes
23. Ahmad A. 5. Greve M. 11. Hannesbo M. 10. Kaastrup M. 4. Lassen M. 29. Mpindi V. 16. Nielsen M. (G) 8. Okosun A. 3. Rejnhold P.	39. Andersen E. 27. Baldursson B. 11. Bjur P. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 9. Ladefoged M. 6. Lauridsen J. 15. Stagaard T. 19. Strunck Jakobsen N. 4. Tjornelund P.
Coaches
Kristensen M.	Sorensen L. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Borgelin S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Kusk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Clemmensen B. ↓, Greve M. ↑,
61', From L. ↓, Bjur P. ↑,
69', Kusk K. ↓, Kaastrup M. ↑,
70', Freriks T. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Mortensen G. ⚽,
75', Bourhane Y. ↓, Strunck Jakobsen N. ↑,
75', Troelsen A. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
76', Borgelin S. ↓, Lassen M. ↑,
76', Jensen L. ↓, Okosun A. ↑,
81', Greve M. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+2', Borsting F. ↓, Mpindi V. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 1.

Vendsyssel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Esbjerg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Vendsyssel won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vendsyssel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vendsyssel FF
Danish 1 Division
25.11.24	Vendsyssel - OB Odense	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Kolding IF - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Vendsyssel - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hvidovre - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
18.10.24	Vendsyssel - B.93 Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTLL
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
24.11.24	Hillerød - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Esbjerg - Hobro	3:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
26.10.24	OB Odense - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
17.08.24	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	3:1
15.05.22	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	2:2
17.04.22	Vendsyssel - Esbjerg	0:0
06.03.22	Vendsyssel - Esbjerg	1:0
25.07.21	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	1:1
13.02.21	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	0:0
09.12.20	Vendsyssel - Esbjerg	1:2

Upcoming Matches