The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vendsyssel 39%
Draw 26.8%
HB Køge 34.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
26.8%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
26.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vendsyssel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Vendsyssel - HB Køge Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schulz L. (G) 23. Olsen A. 21. Clemmensen B. 73. Lauritsen M. 4. Konteh B. 30. Atlason A. N. 8. Michael S. 15. Tangen H. 19. Pedersen E. 12. Vendelbo A. C. 9. Steffensen L. (C)
1. Sommergaard N. (G) 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 4. Hald S. 28. Larsen G. 7. Jensen M. (C) 6. Brodersen R. 25. Isaki F. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.
Substitutes
18. Holt M. 17. Lodberg S. 14. Mortensen F. 16. Nielsen M. (G) 31. Rise A. 5. Roma S. 10. Simpson S. 27. Sommer J. 22. Williams P.
5. Culhaci G. 21. Jakobsen N. 10. Jensen Tue C. 16. Mols C. (G) 34. Palm W. 8. Romer M. 14. Sorensen V. 27. Stolshoj N.
Coaches
Engstrom K.
Pedersen N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Atlason A. N. 🟨,
34', Konteh B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Warming M. ⚽, Isaki F. (A),
56', Tangen H. ↓, Lodberg S. ↑,
56', Clemmensen B. ↓, Sommer J. ↑,
68', Olsen A. ↓, Mortensen F. ↑,
68', Atlason A. N. ↓, Simpson S. ↑,
73', Hald S. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
73', Warming M. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
76', Engstrom K. 🟨,
78', Larsen G. 🟨,
78', Larsen G. ↓, Romer M. ↑,
82', Michael S. ↓, Rise A. ↑,
87', Isaki F. ↓, Stolshoj N. ↑,
87', Jensen M. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
89', Sommer J. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vendsyssel won 1.
Vendsyssel is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Køge has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vendsyssel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vendsyssel holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vendsyssel has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vendsyssel against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Koge
12
2
5
5
17:22
-5
11
11
Vendsyssel
12
2
5
5
13:20
-7
11
Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now
Koge: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
HB Køge - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.08%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Denmark
Finland
Norway
Sweden
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Schulz L. (G) 
Olsen A. 
Clemmensen B. 
Konteh B. 
Michael S. 
Tangen H. 
Isaki F. 
Roma S. 
Simpson S. 
Culhaci G. 
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