Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.87
	3.45	3.5	1.98	Watch
	3.33	3.61	2.11
	3.48	3.57	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.56	3.5	1.94	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.29)	3.5 ↑ (3.49)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
26.7%

Draw
26.4%

JEF United Chiba
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.6%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.7%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). JEF United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 22. Koide Y. 3. Son T. 7. Araki S. 19. Miyazaki J. 20. Endo H. 8. Nakayama R. 11. Kumakura K. 10. Torikai Y. 9. Mitsuhira K.	19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 13. Suzuki D. 67. Hidaka M. 27. Iwai T. 44. Shinada M. 10. Yokoyama A. 14. Tsubaki N. 20. Ishikawa D. 9. Goya H.
Substitutes
40. Edu Mancha 97. Higashi J. (G) 25. Hiratsuka Y. 2. Inoue M. 77. Matheus Leiria 39. Matsuyama H. 44. Naito Y. 29. Oshima K. 14. Tanaka Y.	29. Carlinhos 28. Kawano T. 15. Mae T. 36. Matsuda R. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 25. Yasui T. 38. Yoshida G.
Coaches
Otsuka S.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Toriumi K. (Own goal),
20', Nakayama R. ↓, Hiratsuka Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
56', Goya H. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
56', Iwai T. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
57', Miyazaki J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Ishikawa D. (Pen),
69', Miyazaki J. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
71', Tsubaki N. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
87', Kumakura K. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
87', Araki S. ↓, Matsuyama H. ↑,
89', Hidaka M. ↓, Mae T. ↑,
89', Yokoyama A. ↓, Yoshida G. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Yasui T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 0.

Kofu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

JEF United in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kofu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

JEF United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kofu won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
15.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	3:3 ✺
02.03.25	Kataller Toyama - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLW
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
16.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	5:1 ✺
08.03.25	Consadole Sapporo - JEF United Chiba	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Montedio Yamagata	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	JEF United Chiba - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Iwaki - JEF United Chiba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.10.24	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
12.05.24	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	2:2
01.07.23	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
13.05.23	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	0:1
17.08.22	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
11.06.22	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	1:1
21.08.21	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	1:1

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