Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 5

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.3	3.91	2
	3.38	4.08	1.89	Watch
	3.1	3.75	1.85
	3.32	3.8	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.55)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	1.91 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iwaki
28%

Draw
24%

Omiya Ardija
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

24.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iwaki's form might have worsened.

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.

Iwaki - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 3. Endo R. 4. Dohana K. 7. Nakajima S. 8. Shibata S. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A. 10. Nishitani R. 32. Owie W.	24. Glover T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 88. Nishio R. 13. Iyoha O. 3. Kato H. 16. Kato G. 15. Nakayama K. 11. Caprini 45. Yamamoto O. 14. Izumi T. 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
16. Araki M. 28. Hisanaga R. 11. Kato T. 1. Kato Y. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 13. Murakami H. 30. Shota K. 29. Tanaka K.	20. Hidaka H. 17. Kanda T. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 8. Kaua Diniz 27. Matsui T. 34. Murakami Y. 37. Sekiguchi K. 23. Sugimoto K. 33. Wada T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Shibata S. 🟨,
45', Dohana K. ↓, Kuwata T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nishitani R. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
49', Kato H. 🟨,
59', Sunday O. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
65', Nishio R. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Izumi T. ⚽, Kato H. (A),
77', Owie W. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
78', Izumi T. ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
78', Nakayama K. ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kato T. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
84', Yamanaka A. ↓, Araki M. ↑,
84', Nakano H. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Kuwata T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sugimoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Caprini (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shota K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Iyoha O. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Araki M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yamamoto O. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sasaki M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kato H. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Shibata S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Nishio R. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Kato T. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Kato G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 J3 League
01.03.26	Iwaki - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gifu - Iwaki	1:0 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Iwaki - Fukushima United	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 J3 League
28.02.26	Nagano Parceiro - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Fukushima United	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.12.25	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.07.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:2
29.04.25	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	4:3 penalties
Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:5
17.05.23	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1

Upcoming Matches