The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventspils 17.1%
Draw 22.2%
Spartaks 60.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
25.7%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
19.1%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ventspils's form might have worsened.
Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartaks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ventspils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartaks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.6%
6.2%
78.1%
Ventspils - Spartaks Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Ventspils will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). Spartaks will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartaks: 63.8% – 92.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).
Ventspils has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Spartaks is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Spartaks have a series of guest games.
Spartaks will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 34 head-to-head matches Ventspils won 22 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 59-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Ventspils won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-14.
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