Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Liepāja		Ventspils

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.52	3.85	5.2
	1.53	3.54	6.21
	1.47	3.8	6.5
	1.56	3.98	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	5.69 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Liepāja
60.2%

Draw
23.8%

Ventspils
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

17.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Liepāja - Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent matches Liepāja is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ventspils is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Liepāja have a series of guest games.

In this match Liepāja is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 37 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 13 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 49-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Liepāja won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
19.05.21	Valmiera - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
14.05.21	Liepāja - Rīgas FS	1:2 ✺
09.05.21	Riga - Liepāja	4:1 ✺
05.05.21	Metta - Liepāja	0:3 ✺
01.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- FK Ventspils
Latvian Virsliga
17.05.21	Ventspils - Noah Jūrmala	2:2 ✺
14.05.21	Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
10.05.21	Rīgas FS - Ventspils	1:0 ✺
05.05.21	Riga - Ventspils	3:0 ✺
01.05.21	Ventspils - Metta	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
18.04.21	Ventspils - Liepāja	0:1
Latvian Cup
08.11.20	Liepāja - Ventspils	1:0 ET
Latvian Virsliga
25.10.20	Ventspils - Liepāja	0:2
12.08.20	Liepāja - Ventspils	1:1
04.07.20	Ventspils - Liepāja	2:1
09.11.19	Ventspils - Liepāja	0:1
24.08.19	Liepāja - Ventspils	1:2

Upcoming Matches