Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Veraguas		Tauro

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.20
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.75	3.34	2.41
	2.84	3.44	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.82	3.75	2.34
	2.9	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.43)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veraguas
32.6%

Draw
27.4%

Tauro
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veraguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tauro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tauro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Veraguas - Tauro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araya B. (G) 2. Ceballos E. 3. Navarro J. 14. Torres L. 30. Cedeno A. 5. Villarreal L. 7. Camargo M. (C) 16. Gomez F. 29. Hernandez C. 17. Rivera C. 21. Zuniga N.	12. Guerra J. (C) 3. Gondola E. 28. Sanchez J. 17. Cabrera W. 19. Hurtado K. 7. Pinzon D. 18. Barria J. 22. Hernandez I. 29. Munoz J. 23. Penalba J. 52. Prado M.
Substitutes
20. Arauz R. 4. Cifuentes J. 23. Lopez E. 10. Pinzon A. 18. Rodriguez A. 11. Sagel J. 12. Toribio E. (G) 9. Torres G. 22. Wynter S. . Zuniga R.	2. Asprilla L. 21. Diaz S. 15. Figueroa J. 20. Perez B. 10. Quintero C. 5. Quintero K. 1. Vargas J. (G) 25. Vargas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Cedeno A. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Hernandez C. ⚽,
23', Navarro J. 🟨,
27', Torres L. 🟨,
33', Cabrera W. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
33', Munoz J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
34', Cedeno A. 🟨,
35', Pinzon D. 🟨,
45+1', Villarreal L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Navarro J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
46', Torres L. ↓, Zuniga R. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽,
53', Hernandez I. 🟨,
58', Hernandez I. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
58', Prado M. ↓, Quintero C. ↑,
65', Rivera C. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Asprilla L. 🟨,
77', Vargas J. 🟨,
77', Vargas J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
80', Sanchez J. 🟨,
85', Hernandez C. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
88', Diaz S. 🟨,
90', Figueroa J. 🟨,
90', Zuniga N. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
90+9', Diaz S. 🟨,
90+9', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Veraguas has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:18 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Veraguas against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Veraguas - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veraguas CD
Liga Panamena de Futbol
27.09.26	Veraguas - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Plaza Amador - Veraguas	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	UMECIT - Veraguas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLT
- Tauro FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
26.09.26	Tauro - San Francisco	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Herrera - Tauro	0:6 ✺
12.09.26	Tauro - Deportivo Universitario	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Union Cocle - Tauro	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Tauro - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
14.03.26	Veraguas - Tauro	1:1
12.09.25	Tauro - Veraguas	1:3
29.03.25	Veraguas - Tauro	2:4
25.08.24	Veraguas - Tauro	2:1
25.02.24	Tauro - Veraguas	2:1
25.09.22	Veraguas - Tauro	1:2
08.04.22	Tauro - Veraguas	4:1

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