The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Veraguas 36.5%
Draw 29.1%
Sporting San Miguelito 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
28.8%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
28.1%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Veraguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Veraguas - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Navarro J. 🟨,
13', Castillo J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Castillo A. ⚽,
20', Hall J. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
40', Gomez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zuniga R. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
46', Navarro J. ↓, de Leon R. ↑,
46', Hall J. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
59', Zuniga N. ↓, Sagel J. ↑,
59', Rivera C. ↓, Arauz R. ↑,
59', Castillo A. ↓, Bethancourt A. ↑,
59', Heraldez L. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, de Leon R. ⚽,
64', Winter S. ↓, Ceballos E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 2.
In recent outings, Veraguas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Miguelito is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Miguelito may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Veraguas has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Veraguas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).