Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports
Panama	Medcom GO, RPC
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Veraguas		Alianza Panama

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.55	3.05	2.55
	2.81	3.19	2.38
	2.85	3.23	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.81	3.1	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.05	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.39 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veraguas
33.1%

Draw
29%

Alianza Panama
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veraguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veraguas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Panama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Veraguas - Alianza Panama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araya B. (G) 7. Camargo M. 15. Gomez F. 29. Hernandez C. 44. Munoz W. 17. Rivera C. 9. Torres G. (C) 5. Villarreal L. 22. Wynter S. 21. Zuniga N. 16. Zuniga R.	12. Gonzalez J. (G) 28. Alvarado J. 17. Asprilla J. 5. Campos O. 10. Chiari G. 15. Galvez A. 23. Marquinez J. 13. Mendoza A. 3. Ortega Y. 18. Perdomo R. 22. Rodriguez M. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Villarreal L. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Hernandez C. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Chiari G. ⚽,
27', Gomez F. 🟨,
41', Galvez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galvez A. ↓, Mitre R. ↑,
52', Zuniga R. 🟨,
54', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
56', Rodriguez M. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
56', Zuniga R. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
71', Rivera C. ↓, Pinzon A. ↑,
71', Torres G. ↓, de Leon R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, de Leon R. ⚽,
82', Zuniga N. ↓, Tejedor O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Veraguas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Veraguas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Veraguas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veraguas CD
Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.09.26	Árabe Unido - Veraguas	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	UMECIT - Veraguas	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Veraguas - San Francisco	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Herrera - Veraguas	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Veraguas - Deportivo Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTTW
- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.09.26	Alianza Panama - San Francisco	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Union Cocle - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
24.08.26	Alianza Panama - Tauro	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.05.26	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:3 penalties
09.05.26	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	0:0
22.02.26	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	5:3
06.09.25	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	1:0
07.03.25	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:0
28.09.24	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	0:2
07.04.24	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	3:2

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