Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Wittmann T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lübeck		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.37
	2.8	3.4	2.4
	2.88	3.47	2.48
	2.88	3.47	2.48
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.35	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.18)	3.39 ↓ (3.58)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
33%

Draw
27.6%

Verl
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Verl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lübeck - Verl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stein Y. (G) 8. Egerer F. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. (C) 21. Velasco R. 33. Schneider J. 13. Thiel M. 16. Beleme D.	25. Muller T. (G) 5. Baack T. 6. Pernot B. 16. Paetow T. 24. Stocker M. 33. Nadj N. 23. Benger M. 28. Otto Y. 11. Ochojski N. 7. Wolfram M. 13. Lokotsch L.
Substitutes
34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 25. Gozusirin T. 17. Grupe T. 7. Hauptmann M. 27. Reddemann S. 22. Sommer L.	14. Fein A. 20. Guzy G. 10. Kammerbauer P. 21. Knost T. 22. Mannhardt M. 4. Mikic D. 18. Mittelstadt H. 40. Nubel L. (G) 9. Taz B.
Coaches
Martens J.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Pernot B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Otto Y. ↓, Taz B. ↑,
46', Pernot B. ↓, Mikic D. ↑,
49', Nadj N. 🟨,
61', Thiel M. ↓, Gozusirin T. ↑,
62', Beleme D. ↓, Hauptmann M. ↑,
66', Boland M. 🟨,
67', Schneider J. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
67', Velasco R. ↓, Sommer L. ↑,
72', Egerer F. 🟨,
78', Lokotsch L. ↓, Mittelstadt H. ↑,
78', Stocker M. ↓, Fein A. ↑,
82', Ochojski N. ↓, Knost T. ↑,
83', Taffertshofer U. ↓, Grupe T. ↑,

Preview

Lübeck is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Verl is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verl will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Hallescher - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Verl - Sandhausen	4:4 ✺
17.03.24	Ingolstadt - Verl	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Verl	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Verl - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Verl - Lübeck	4:0
20.03.21	Lübeck - Verl	2:2
16.11.20	Verl - Lübeck	1:2

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