The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verl 44%
Draw 24.5%
Ingolstadt 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
25.2%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.3%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verl's performance.
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Verl - Ingolstadt Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Verl (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 14. Lehmann P. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 24. Stocker M. 30. Gayret T. (C) 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 10. Taz B. 11. Steczyk D. 23. Besio A.
1. Ponath M. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 34. Frode L. (C) 22. Costly M. 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Carlsen F. 7. Sturm Y. 9. Borchers M.
Substitutes
9. Arweiler J. 19. Kijewski N. 21. Knost T. 22. Mannhardt M. 17. Mesanovic A. 27. Onuoha C. 28. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J.
11. Christensen F. 24. Christensen G. 3. Decker E. 25. Eisele K. (G) 29. Kugel J. 23. Maljojoki J. 39. Ozturk B. 14. Plath M. 33. Sekulovic D.
Coaches
Strobl T.
Wittmann S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Steczyk D. ⚽,
33', Frode L. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
45+1', Ponath M. ↓, Eisele K. ↑,
45+3', Scholz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Steczyk D. 🟨,
56', Plath M. 🟨,
65', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
65', Steczyk D. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Christensen F. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
68', Lorenz S. 🟨,
77', Christensen F. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
78', Christensen G. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
79', Besio A. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
79', Stocker M. ↓, Kijewski N. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Arweiler J. ⚽, Otto Y. (A),
90+3', Taz B. ↓, Mannhardt M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Lorenz S. ⚽, Carlsen F. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Verl will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Verl - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Germany
World
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Schulze P. (G) 
Steczyk D. 
Besio A. 
Carlsen F. 
Mesanovic A. 
Maljojoki J. 
Ozturk B. 
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