Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball app


	Verl		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.78	3.7	4.1
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.84	4.09	4.1
	1.76	3.93	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.7
	1.76	3.84	3.93	Watch
	1.81	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.81 ↓ (4.05)	3.96 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
52.2%

Draw
24.4%

Unterhaching
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Unterhaching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Verl - Unterhaching Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 8. Kammerbauer P. 4. Mikic D. 2. Gruber F. (C) 24. Stocker M. 23. Benger M. 28. Otto Y. 10. Taz B. 5. Baack T. 9. Arweiler J. 27. Onuoha C.	1. Heide K. (G) 49. Ortel N. 27. Hoops T. 34. Knipping T. 3. Lamby M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 2. Zentrich V. 39. Waidner D. 10. Maier S. (C) 9. Kugel J. 25. Jastremski L.
Substitutes
19. Kijewski N. 18. Kyeremateng G. 13. Lokotsch L. 34. Otto F. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 17. Probst E. 16. Scholze M. 7. Stark J.	26. Breuer A. 24. Eisele K. (G) 20. Leuthard A. 46. Markulin N. 38. Mashigo B. 4. Schlicke B. 31. Schmid F. 48. Schneider R. 11. Winklbauer T.
Coaches
Ende A.	Bender S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Taz B. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Taz B. ⚽,
64', Zentrich V. ↓, Leuthard A. ↑,
76', Gayret T. 🟨,
79', Gruber F. 🟨,
81', Mikic D. ↓, Otto F. ↑,
81', Onuoha C. ↓, Kyeremateng G. ↑,
85', Ortel N. ↓, Mashigo B. ↑,
88', Kyeremateng G. 🟨,
90+3', Taz B. ↓, Probst E. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Probst E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Verl is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unterhaching is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Verl is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Verl won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Verl won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
29.09.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Verl - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Viktoria Köln - Verl	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Verl - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Hannover II - Verl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.24	Unterhaching - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
24.09.24	Hansa Rostock - Unterhaching	4:1 ✺
20.09.24	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Saarbrücken - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Unterhaching - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Unterhaching - Verl	1:0
02.09.23	Verl - Unterhaching	0:0
14.03.21	Verl - Unterhaching	2:1
12.01.21	Unterhaching - Verl	3:4

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