Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	SportKlub
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sportklub
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, FuboTV
World	Onefootball app


	Unterhaching		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3	3.5	2.2
	3.2	3.55	2.25
	3.09	3.43	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.03	3.62	2.16	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
30.7%

Draw
26.8%

Erzgebirge Aue
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unterhaching will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aue will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 8. Stiefler M. 34. Knipping T. 3. Lamby M. 25. Jastremski L. 39. Waidner D. 10. Maier S. 30. Skarlatidis S. 14. Ihorst L. 9. Kugel J.	1. Mannel M. (C) 21. Burghardt M. 23. Barylla A. 19. Hoffmann T. 29. Rosenlocher L. 30. Loune A. 10. Pepic M. 8. Clausen M. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
26. Breuer A. 24. Eisele K. (G) 33. Hennig M. 27. Hoops T. 20. Leuthard A.	20. Fabisch J. 17. Fallmann P. 18. Kallenbach W. 22. Lord L. (G) 24. Nkansah S. 12. Schadlich F. 7. Seitz S. 11. Sijaric O.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Dotchev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Maier S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Bar M. ⚽, Clausen M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Stiefler M. 🟨,
59', Kugel J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Maier S. ⚽, Jastremski L. (A),
65', 2 - 1, Jastremski L. ⚽, Schwabl M. (A),
66', Tashchy B. 🟨,
70', Schwabl M. ↓, Zentrich V. ↑,
72', Zentrich V. 🟨,
78', Ihorst L. 🟨,
80', Clausen M. ↓, Sijaric O. ↑,
83', Burghardt M. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
83', Jastremski L. ↓, Mashigo B. ↑,
86', Hoffmann T. ↓, Nkansah S. ↑,
86', Tashchy B. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
89', Heide K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Nkansah S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
14.09.24	Saarbrücken - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Unterhaching - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Osnabrück - Unterhaching	4:2 ✺
10.08.24	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLWL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Unterhaching	2:1
11.11.23	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0
Club Friendly
14.01.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Unterhaching	2:3

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