Match Info

3. Liga - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Besong J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Verl		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.78	4	3.8
	1.8	3.85	3.8	Watch
	1.83	4.13	3.92
	1.78	4.14	3.76	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.75	3.8	3.78	Watch
	1.76	4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.9 ↓ (4.05)	3.78 (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
52%

Draw
23.6%

VfB Stuttgart II
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

22.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Verl - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Stuttgart II (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Verl will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Verl will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Stuttgart II (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 30. Gayret T. 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 10. Taz B. 11. Worner M. 23. Besio A.	1. Hellstern F. (G) 24. Olivier C. 13. Kohler T. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 16. Meyer L. 23. Spalt Y. 5. Catovic M. 31. Darvich N. 10. Sessa N. 26. Diehl J. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.
Substitutes
2. Araoye R. 9. Arweiler J. 26. Foti A. 14. Lehmann P. 17. Mesanovic A. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F.	19. Fressle K. 6. Groiss A. 4. Herwerth M. 2. Janjic A. 39. Jatta N. 18. Luers J. 49. Penna L. . Tsigkas M. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
Coaches
Strobl T.	Willig N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Nothnagel D. 🟨,
45', Waidner D. 🟨,
45+2', Nothnagel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Sessa N. ↓, Herwerth M. ↑,
48', Eze J. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Worner M. ⚽, Kijewski N. (A),
57', Eze J. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
59', Worner M. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Arweiler J. ⚽, Taz B. (A),
60', Kohler T. ↓, Luers J. ↑,
60', Diehl J. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Gayret T. ⚽,
66', Catovic M. 🟨,
67', Darvich N. 🟨,
68', 4 - 0, Taz B. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Darvich N. ↓, Penna L. ↑,
72', Kijewski N. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,
72', Waidner D. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
76', Taz B. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
79', Ouro-Tagba M. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
90+4', Gayret T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

Verl is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stuttgart II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Verl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Verl is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Verl won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Verl won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Verl: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Verl	8	3	2	3	12:15	-3	11
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

VfB Stuttgart II - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 24.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
25.01.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Bonner - Verl	0:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	1860 München - Verl	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWT
- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Verl	1:1
19.04.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Verl	1:1
23.11.24	Verl - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2

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