Match Info

3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	VfB Stuttgart II		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.58	Watch
	2.42	3.54	2.67	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.54	3.38	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	2.6 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfB Stuttgart II
37.1%

Draw
27.6%

Duisburg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hellstern F. (G) 35. Gluck M. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 4. Herwerth M. 23. Spalt Y. 5. Catovic M. 8. Di Benedetto S. 7. Penna L. 31. Darvich N. 26. Diehl J. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 33. Tugbenyo J. 6. Bulic R. 8. Casar A. 11. Dittgen M. 45. Lobinger L. 37. Sussek P.
Substitutes
6. Groiss A. 11. Korkut E. 18. Luers J. 16. Meyer L. 17. Nankishi A. 24. Olivier C. 44. Sankoh M. 10. Sessa N. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)	25. Borkowski D. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 18. Meuer S. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 38. Sadlek G. E. 40. Schlicke B.
Coaches
Willig N.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Bulic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Diehl J. ↓, Meyer L. ↑,
46', Darvich N. ↓, Olivier C. ↑,
49', Nothnagel D. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Sussek P. ⚽, Lobinger L. (A),
64', Catovic M. ↓, Sessa N. ↑,
64', Nothnagel D. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
69', Dittgen M. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Lobinger L. ⚽, Noss C. (A),
77', Bulic R. ↓, Muller L. ↑,
78', Spalt Y. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
84', Sussek P. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
84', Lobinger L. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
85', Borkowski D. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Bitter J. ⚽, Coskun C. (A),
90+6', 0 - 4, Tugbenyo J. ⚽, Noss C. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	VfB Stuttgart II - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWT
- MSV Duisburg
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hannover - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Energie Cottbus - Duisburg	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Duisburg - Alemannia Aachen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.08.25	Duisburg - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1
12.04.15	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	1:2
04.10.14	Duisburg - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1
04.04.14	Duisburg - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0
26.10.13	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	1:1

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