Match Info

3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 12
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.7
	2.22	3.65	2.78	Watch
	2.31	3.85	2.84
	2.16	3.93	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.3	3.68	2.76	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	2.75 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
41.3%

Draw
25%

VfB Stuttgart II
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stuttgart II will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 2. Hoppe M. 6. Antzoulas G. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 22. Costly M. 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Carlsen F. 10. Kaygin D. 29. Kugel J.	41. Drljaca S. (G) 35. Gluck M. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 4. Herwerth M. 16. Meyer L. 8. Di Benedetto S. 5. Catovic M. 31. Darvich N. 10. Sessa N. 26. Diehl J. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.
Substitutes
24. Christensen G. 20. Deichmann Y. 30. Drakulic O. 34. Frode L. 5. Gul E. 44. Kehrer E. 47. Klein D. (G) 14. Plath M. 7. Sturm Y.	6. Groiss A. 13. Kohler T. 11. Korkut E. 17. Nankishi A. 24. Olivier C. 7. Penna L. 44. Sankoh M. 23. Spalt Y. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Willig N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Lorenz S. ⚽, Carlsen F. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Darvich N. ⚽, Sessa N. (A),
45', Sessa N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diehl J. ↓, Penna L. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Kaygin D. ⚽,
58', Rosenlocher L. 🟨,
65', Darvich N. ↓, Nankishi A. ↑,
66', Di Benedetto S. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
67', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,
67', Kugel J. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
72', Carlsen F. 🟨,
75', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
77', Besuschkow M. ↓, Gul E. ↑,
77', Kaygin D. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
81', Costly M. 🟨,
82', Sessa N. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
82', Herwerth M. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
90+2', Hoppe M. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
90+7', Ouro-Tagba M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stuttgart II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
16.01.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLTW
- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Osnabrück - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	VfB Stuttgart II - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Ingolstadt	2:1
15.02.25	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1
14.09.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Ingolstadt	3:2

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