Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Verona		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	3	Watch
	2.8	3	2.7
	2.88	2.98	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3.23
	2.54	2.94	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.98	3.09	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.36)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)	2.94 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
36%

Draw
31.5%

Cremonese
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	30.8%	26.9%

Verona - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 33 - 42.9%). Cremonese will win (votes: 21 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 29.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 31.8% – 54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 12 - 40%). Cremonese (votes: 6 - 20%). Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Verona (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Verona (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cremonese (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Cremonese (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Tie (votes: 12 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 3. Frese M. 7. Belghali R. 63. Gagliardini R. 8. Serdar S. (C) 12. Bradaric D. 24. Bernede A. 16. Orban G. 17. Giovane	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 18. Collocolo M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 99. Sanabria A.
Substitutes
72. Ajayi J. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 73. Al Musrati 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 23. Ebosse E. 20. Kastanos G. 36. Niasse C. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 90. Vermesan I.	23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 10. Vardy J. 20. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Zanetti P.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Gagliardini R. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
43', Serdar S. 🟨,
45', Giovane 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Vandeputte J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
58', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Vardy J. ↑,
58', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
66', Sanabria A. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
70', Frese M. ↓, Bella-Kotchap A. ↑,
78', Collocolo M. 🟨,
80', Orban G. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
80', Bernede A. ↓, Niasse C. ↑,
80', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
86', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 1.

Recent performances by Verona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cremonese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Verona has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Verona: Orban G. (Foot Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury) Valentini N. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T. (Leg Injury) Bonazzoli F. (Leg Injury) Johnsen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Gagliardini R. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Verona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0 ✺
25.08.25	Udinese - Verona	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Verona	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	St. Pauli - Verona	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Milan - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Cremonese - Pro Patria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.04.23	Cremonese - Verona	1:1
09.01.23	Verona - Cremonese	2:0
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Verona - Cremonese	0:1
Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Verona - Cremonese	1:2 ET
Italian Serie B
29.03.19	Cremonese - Verona	1:1
02.11.18	Verona - Cremonese	1:1
Coppa Italia
24.08.14	Verona - Cremonese	3:0

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