Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:00	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	19:00	OneFootball TV


	Mantova		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.30	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.10
	2.10	3.40	3.35	Watch
	2.27	3.30	3.48
	2.32	3.17	3.16	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.40
	2.21	3.29	3.39	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.46)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	3.27 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
42.5%

Draw
28.9%

Cremonese
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cremonese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Mantova - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (6.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (G) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 58. Del Lungo T. 21. Trimboli S. (C) 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa F. 30. Bragantini D. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Gliozzi E.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 38. Vogliacco A. 6. Baschirotto F. 3. Pezzella G. 2. Thorsby M. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 71. Elia S. 14. Berti T. 27. Vandeputte J. 90. Bonazzoli F. (C)
Substitutes
11. Cajazzo I. 1. Gemello L. (G) 25. Ignacchiti L. 8. Ilie R. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 13. Meroni A. 17. Radaelli N. 7. Spinacce M. 77. Vesentini F. 99. Vlahovic V. 10. Wieser D.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 9. De Luca M. 11. Djuric M. 13. Fellipe Jack 12. Festa M. (G) 33. Grassi A. 26. Herzuah G. 17. Lickunas A. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 5. Luperto S. 19. Nasti M. 7. Stuckler D.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Pecchia F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
13', Vogliacco A. ↓, Luperto S. ↑,
24', Lottici Tessadri S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gliozzi E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
52', Cella S. 🟨,
57', Del Lungo T. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
61', Pezzella G. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
64', Berti T. 🟨,
65', Barbieri T. 🟨,
66', Castellini A. 🟨,
71', Bragantini D. ↓, Spinacce M. ↑,
72', Ruocco F. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
74', Bonazzoli F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
74', Vandeputte J. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,
79', Kouda R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Nasti M. ⚽, Lordkipanidze D. (A),
84', Barbieri T. 🟨,
90+1', Trimboli S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.

Mantova has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cremonese has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mantova holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Mantova: Chinetti F. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Cremonese: Bianchetti M. (Inactive) Collocolo M. (Inactive) Gerli F. (Inactive) Pontisso S. (Inactive) Rocchetti Y. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Mantova: Paoletti F. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Cremonese: Stuckler D. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mantova has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mantova against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mantova	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
14	Cremonese	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Virtus Entella - Mantova	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Mantova - Palermo	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Mantova - Pisa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Pisa - Cremonese	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Arezzo - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Cremonese - Mantova	4:2
09.11.24	Mantova - Cremonese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
06.02.16	Mantova - Cremonese	0:2
27.09.15	Cremonese - Mantova	3:3
18.01.15	Cremonese - Mantova	0:0
07.09.14	Mantova - Cremonese	1:2

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