Match Info

Serie A - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football


	Milan		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.36	5	8.25
	1.41	4.7	7.9	Watch
	1.41	4.92	8.19
	1.38	4.30	9.39	Watch
	1.35	4.8	8
	1.44	5.01	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	4.78 ↓ (5.1)	8.2 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
68.4%

Draw
19.9%

Cremonese
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.7%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.7%	8.7%	2.5%

Milan - Cremonese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Milan (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (39 of 44 users predict this - 88.64%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 40 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 2. Estupinan P. 11. Pulisic C. 7. Gimenez S.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 7. Zerbin A. 18. Collocolo M. 33. Grassi A. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 77. Okereke D. 90. Bonazzoli F.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 33. Bartesaghi D. 21. Chukwueze S. 5. De Winter K. 30. Jashari A. 20. Jimenez A. 80. Musah Y. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	38. Bondo W. 19. Castagnetti M. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. De Luca M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 32. Payero M. 99. Sanabria A. 17. Sernicola L. 16. Silvestri M. (G)
Coaches
Allegri M.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Zerbin A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Estupinan P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Estupinan P. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
48', Grassi A. 🟨,
56', Vandeputte J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
56', Grassi A. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Pezzella G. (A),
65', Tomori F. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
65', Okereke D. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
69', Terracciano F. 🟨,
74', Modric L. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
77', Payero M. 🟨,
78', Jimenez A. 🟨,
83', Bonazzoli F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
84', Bianchetti M. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
88', Bondo W. 🟨,

Preview

Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T. (Yellow Cards) Johnsen D. (Ankle Injury) Saro G. (Knee Injury) Tsadjout F. (Injury) Valoti M. (Yellow Cards) Vazquez F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Milan: Leao R. (Injury) Torriani L. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Milan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Milan - Bari	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Chelsea - Milan	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Leeds United - Milan	1:1 ✺
31.07.25	Perth Glory - Milan	0:9 ✺
26.07.25	Liverpool - Milan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTWW
- US Cremonese
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Reggiana - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Cremonese - Pro Patria	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Torino - Cremonese	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
01.06.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.05.23	Milan - Cremonese	1:1
08.11.22	Cremonese - Milan	0:0

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