Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
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France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Italy	Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malta	TSN Malta 3
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Verona		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.95	Watch
	2.67	3.26	2.83
	2.85	2.80	2.81	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.92)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	3.23 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
39.1%

Draw
31.1%

Venezia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verona's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Verona - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Venezia (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Venezia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Perilli S. (C) 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 19. Slotsager T. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 4. Santiago Y. 73. Al Musrati 36. Niasse C. 20. Kastanos G. 72. Ajayi J. 9. Sarr A.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 16. Venturi M. 33. Sverko M. 5. Haps R. 71. Perez K. 37. Bohinen E. 24. Lella N. 21. Compagnon M. 80. Casas A. 7. Fila D.
Substitutes
28. Akale R. 7. Belghali R. 76. Castagnini M. (G) 71. De Battisti D. 77. Feola W. 17. Giovane 2. Kurti A. 92. Monticelli L. 1. Montipo L. (G) 15. Nelsson V. 16. Orban G. 27. Pavanati A. 30. Szimionas L. 90. Vermesan I.	9. Adorante A. 19. Bjarkason B. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Hainaut A. 2. Korac S. 99. Pietrelli A. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 1. Stankovic F. (G) 30. Svoboda M. 10. Yeboah J.
Coaches
Zanetti P.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Niasse C. 🟨,
38', Ebosse E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sverko M. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
46', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
50', Lella N. 🟨,
65', Perez K. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
69', Ajayi J. ↓, Vermesan I. ↑,
71', Zanetti P. 🟨,
75', Venturi M. ↓, Svoboda M. ↑,
75', Compagnon M. 🟨,
80', Sarr A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
80', Niasse C. ↓, De Battisti D. ↑,
81', Casas A. 🟨,
83', Casas A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
90', Slotsager T. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
90', Santiago Y. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Kastanos G. (Pen),
1, Fila D. (Pen),
2, Ebosse E. (Pen),
2, Yeboah J. (Pen),
3, Al Musrati (Pen),
3, Svoboda M. (Pen),
4, Giovane (Pen),
4, Bohinen E. (Pen),
5, Orban G. (Pen),
5, Lella N. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Verona is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Verona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Verona - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0 ✺
25.08.25	Udinese - Verona	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Verona	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLTW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Venezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pescara - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Rapid Wien - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.25	Juve Stabia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Venezia - Bari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.01.25	Venezia - Verona	1:1
04.10.24	Verona - Venezia	2:1
27.02.22	Verona - Venezia	3:1
05.12.21	Venezia - Verona	3:4
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Verona - Venezia	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie B
03.03.19	Verona - Venezia	1:0
21.10.18	Venezia - Verona	1:1

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