Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.2	3.95
	2.04	3.28	4.32
	2.35	2.62	3.83	Watch
	2.01	3.4	4.01	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	3.94 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
46.3%

Draw
29.7%

Cesena
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Venezia - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Cesena (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Cesena (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 18. Hainaut A. 19. Bjarkason B. 4. Franjic B. 2. Korac S. 9. Adorante A. 8. Doumbia I. 6. Busio G. (C) 3. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J. 32. Duncan A.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 4. Castagnetti M. 17. Adamo E. 70. Francesconi M. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 7. Fila D. 5. Haps R. 24. Lella N. 71. Perez K. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 33. Sverko M. 30. Svoboda M. 16. Venturi M.	16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 25. Bisoli D. 13. Celia R. 39. Fontana N. (G) 18. Guidi M. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G)
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
61', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
61', Hainaut A. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
61', Schingtienne J. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
62', Ciervo R. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
63', Busio G. 🟨,
70', Franjic B. ↓, Sverko M. ↑,
71', Castagnetti M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
71', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Mangraviti M. ⚽,
77', Yeboah J. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Busio G. (Pen),
84', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
84', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
90+1', Sverko M. 🟨,
90+3', Duncan A. 🟥,
90+8', Bisoli D. 🟨,
90+9', Doumbia I. 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Pietrelli A. (Inactive) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cesena: Zamagni D. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
13.09.25	Pescara - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Rapid Wien - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.25	Juve Stabia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Venezia - Bari	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Venezia - Mantova	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
13.09.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Cesena - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Pescara - Cesena	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Cesena - Pisa	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Mantova - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.22	Venezia - Cesena	0:1
Italian Serie B
27.01.18	Venezia - Cesena	1:0
03.09.17	Cesena - Venezia	0:0

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