Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 9

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass (Ísafjörður)

Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Besta Deildin 1
World	Onefootball


	Vestri		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.1	1.57
	5.6	4.4	1.51	Watch
	5.87	4.49	1.5
	5.92	4.47	1.52	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	5.98	4.4	1.5	Watch
	5.6	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 (5.5)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vestri
17%

Draw
21.7%

Vikingur Reykjavik
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

21.8%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.3%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Vikingur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Vestri - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vestri (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vikingur Reykjavik will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vikingur Reykjavik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vestri (votes: 1 - 25%). Vikingur (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Smit G. (G) 6. Hauksson G. 5. Phete T. 32. Sigurbjornsson E. (C) 40. Kjeldsen G. 3. Kralj A. 23. Songani S. 4. Gbadamosi F. 28. Pedersen J. 10. Montiel D. 7. Tufegdzic V.	1. Jonsson I. (G) 6. Vatnhamar G. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 27. Vilhjalmsson M. 24. Atlason D. 8. Andrason V. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 12. Al Mosawe A. 25. Ingimundarson V. 23. Hansen N.
Substitutes
19. Duah E. 17. Einarsson G. 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. 29. Grauberg K. 18. Hagbardsson M. 20. Omarsson O. I. 1. Schubert B. (G) 15. Svavarsson G.	7. Agnarsson E. 80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 9. Gudjonsson H. 22. Gunnarsson K. 17. Jonasson A. 32. Sigurdsson G. 77. Thordarson S. 15. Thorkelsson R.
Coaches
Lamude D.	Ottesen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Atlason D. 🟨,
27', Kralj A. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Andrason V. (Pen),
35', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
44', Ibrahimagic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hansen N. ↓, Sigurdsson G. ↑,
54', Sigurbjornsson E. 🟨,
57', Phete T. 🟨,
63', Ingimundarson V. ↓, Thordarson S. ↑,
63', Atlason D. ↓, Gunnarsson K. ↑,
71', Songani S. ↓, Fall S. ↑,
71', Al Mosawe A. ↓, Agnarsson E. ↑,
79', Kralj A. ↓, Grauberg K. ↑,
79', Montiel D. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
79', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Svavarsson G. ↑,
82', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,
88', Pedersen J. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
90+6', Vilhjalmsson M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vestri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vikingur is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vestri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Vestri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.05.25	Vestri - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	Fram - Vestri	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
15.05.25	Breiðablik - Vestri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.05.25	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WLWWW
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.05.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.08.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Vestri	1:1
20.05.24	Vestri - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:4
Icelandic Cup
02.10.21	Vestri - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:3

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