Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass (Ísafjörður)

Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport
World	Onefootball


	Vestri		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.6	3.5	2.49	Watch
	2.86	3.65	2.47
	2.81	3.47	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.66	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.21)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)	2.48 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vestri
35.3%

Draw
27%

Stjarnan
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vestri's performance.

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjarnan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vestri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjarnan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Vestri - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vestri will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Smit G. (G) 5. Phete T. 6. Hauksson G. 32. Sigurbjornsson E. (C) 40. Kjeldsen G. 3. Kralj A. 28. Pedersen J. 10. Montiel D. 4. Gbadamosi F. 8. Jonsson D. 7. Tufegdzic V.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 24. Jonsson S. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 32. Orvarsson O. 30. Kjartansson K. 18. Nokkvason G. 7. Eggertsson O. 10. Fridjonsson S. 23. Waren B. 99. Bjarnason A.
Substitutes
19. Duah E. 17. Einarsson G. 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. 1. Schubert B. (G) 23. Songani S. 15. Svavarsson G.	14. Barkarson J. H. 11. Birgisson A. 1. Birnuson A. (G) 37. Brink H. O. 43. Gislason G. 41. Gudjonsson A. M. 8. Gunnarsson J. 29. Hauksson A. 19. Matthiasson D.
Coaches
Lamude D.	Elisabetarson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
18', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
28', Tufegdzic V. 🟨,
39', Gbadamosi F. 🟨,
44', Hauksson G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Hauksson G. ⚽, Montiel D. (A),
60', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,
60', Kjartansson K. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Jonsson D. ⚽,
76', Hauksson G. ↓, Songani S. ↑,
76', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Fall S. ↑,
83', Bjarnason A. ↓, Barkarson J. H. ↑,
83', Nokkvason G. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Jonsson D. ⚽, Songani S. (A),
90', Jonsson S. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
90', Phete T. ↓, Gardarsson E. ↑,
90+4', Kristjansson G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home match between the teams, Vestri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Vestri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.05.25	Fram - Vestri	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
15.05.25	Breiðablik - Vestri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.05.25	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vestri	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vestri - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWWWL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.05.25	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Kári - Stjarnan	2:3 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.05.25	Stjarnan - Fram	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Afturelding - Stjarnan	3:0 ✺
28.04.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.25	Stjarnan - Vestri	6:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.09.24	Stjarnan - Vestri	1:0
02.06.24	Vestri - Stjarnan	4:2
Icelandic League Cup
13.02.21	Stjarnan - Vestri	3:2

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