Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 12

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	VfB Stuttgart II		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.95	3.75	3.3
	2.01	3.8	3.31
	1.95	3.9	3.22
	1.92	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)	3.79 ↓ (3.92)	3.27 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfB Stuttgart II
47.5%

Draw
24.3%

Mainz II
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

23.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart II won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stuttgart II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Stuttgart II won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
03.10.23	Hessen Kassel - VfB Stuttgart II	1:5 ✺
30.09.23	VfB Stuttgart II - TuS Koblenz	7:3 ✺
22.09.23	Kickers Offenbach - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Homburg	1:8 ✺
09.09.23	Freiberg - VfB Stuttgart II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
03.10.23	Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Bahlinger - Mainz II	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	3:0 ✺
19.09.23	Mainz II - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Mainz II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.05.23	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	0:1
20.11.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	4:1
12.02.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	0:2
03.09.21	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	2:4
27.03.21	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	2:3
10.10.20	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:0
17.03.19	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	1:1

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